Orlando City are in serious trouble. Sitting 28th in MLS, their home record this season has been alarmingly open — they have conceded in every home game, averaging over two goals against per match, and every single home fixture has gone over 2.5 goals. That is well above the league average and paints a picture of a side that simply cannot keep things tight at the back.

Charlotte arrive in decent shape, winning three of their last five away from home, though their away attacking output has been modest. They have kept clean sheets in half their road trips, suggesting a more disciplined defensive shape on the road.

With Orlando's defensive fragility so pronounced and Charlotte carrying genuine momentum, the visitors look undervalued here. This match also has strong indicators for goals given Orlando's involvement in high-scoring games all season, though Charlotte's more cautious away style could moderate that somewhat.