Los Angeles Galaxy are in poor shape heading into this one, picking up just two points from their last five home games while sitting 18th in the league. Real Salt Lake arrive in contrasting form, unbeaten in their last four and winning three of those on the road. Without any head-to-head history to lean on, recent form has to do the heavy lifting here, and it firmly favors the visitors.

The goal data adds another layer of interest. Galaxy's home matches have seen BTTS land in 75% of games, well above the league average of 58%, and Real Salt Lake have kept a clean sheet in none of their away fixtures this season. Both sides have shown a tendency to give up goals, which points to an open, end-to-end contest. Expect goals here, and this looks like a game where Real Salt Lake are undervalued given the gulf in current form.