Inter Miami come into this in decent touch, picking up three wins from their last five at home, though their defensive record is a concern — they are yet to keep a clean sheet at home this season and have been involved in high-scoring affairs in every single home game. That 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 rate at home, both well above the league average, tells you something about the open nature of their matches.

Orlando City sit 25th in the league and have been poor on the road, winning just once in their last five away fixtures. Their away scoring record this season is alarming — averaging just 0.2 goals per game while conceding over four, which puts their BTTS rate of 25% away from home well below the league norm.

The form gap here is significant. Orlando look outclassed on paper, and while Miami's games tend to produce goals, the visitors may struggle to contribute their end. This looks more one-sided than a competitive fixture.