DC United head into this one sitting 18th, but their home form offers some encouragement with two wins in their last five. The defensive side of things remains a concern though, conceding an average of 2.2 per home game and keeping a clean sheet just once this season at home. CF Montreal arrive in worse league shape at 24th, yet their away form reads W W L W D, suggesting they can pick up points on the road despite shipping heavily, averaging 2.9 goals conceded per away game.

The goals data here is striking. Montreal's away matches have gone over 2.5 in every single game this season, well above the league average, while DC United's home fixtures are also running hot at 80%. Neither side has shown much defensive solidity, and with no head-to-head history to temper expectations, this looks like a match where both teams are likely to be involved in the scoring. The table positions flatter neither side defensively, and the visitors may be undervalued given their recent away results.