Charlotte come into this in wretched form, winless in their last five with four defeats, and their position at the foot of the table tells the full story. At home this season they have been conceding freely, keeping a clean sheet in just 14% of games, while their BTTS rate of 71% sits well above the league average of 60%. New England, by contrast, arrive on the back of three wins from their last four away from home and have been clinical on the road.

The numbers here point firmly toward goals. New England have kept a clean sheet in none of their away games this season, and Charlotte's defensive frailty at home makes this matchup particularly open. Both sides have strong BTTS tendencies on their respective patches, and the data suggests this fixture has the hallmarks of a high-scoring affair.

Form, position, and the limited head-to-head history all point the same way. New England look undervalued here, and this game looks looser and more entertaining than a straightforward away win might suggest.