Charlotte come into this on a mixed run of two wins and three defeats from their last five, though their home record this season has been remarkably open. An 80% BTTS rate and 80% of matches going over 2.5 goals at home are both well above the league average, and with an average of 2.4 goals scored per home game, they carry a genuine attacking threat on their own patch. A clean sheet rate of just 20% at home does raise questions about their defensive solidity though.

FC Cincinnati arrive in poor form, sitting 18th and without a win in four before scraping one last time out. Their away record is defensively alarming, conceding an average of 3.2 goals per away game with zero clean sheets on the road all season.

With no head-to-head history to reference, the data here points clearly toward a high-scoring affair. This looks like a game where goals are likely at both ends, and Cincinnati appear vulnerable enough away from home to make Charlotte the stronger side on the day.