Atlanta United head into this one in wretched form, picking up just one point from their last five and sitting rock bottom of the league standings. Their home record tells a damning story — conceding nearly two goals per game while keeping a clean sheet just once all season. New England arrive in considerably better shape, winning three of their last five away from home, though their defensive fragility on the road is a genuine concern with zero clean sheets registered in away fixtures.

The goal data here is hard to ignore. Both sides rank well above the league average for BTTS and Over 2.5 outcomes, and when you combine Atlanta's leaky backline with New England's own struggles to shut up shop away from home, the conditions for an open game are firmly in place. The visitors have conceded heavily on the road all season.

With Revolution carrying momentum and Atlanta mired at the bottom, the visitors look undervalued here. This also shapes up as one of the more goal-friendly fixtures on the slate this week.