Nice arrive at this fixture deep in relegation trouble, sitting 16th in Ligue 1 and showing little sign of improvement across their last five away games — four draws and a defeat tells a story of a side struggling to win but also hard to break down entirely. That said, their defensive record on the road is a real concern, conceding nearly two goals per away game on average this season.

The goals data points firmly toward an open game. Nice's away matches have seen BTTS in 65% of fixtures and over 2.5 goals in 59% of them, both notably above the Ligue 1 averages of 51% and 53% respectively. They've kept just one clean sheet away from home all season, which is damning.

With no previous head-to-head data to lean on, this matchup carries uncertainty, but the underlying numbers suggest goals are likely here, and Nice look vulnerable at the back regardless of venue.