Castellon host third-placed Almeria in what shapes up as a compelling promotion-push clash. The hosts have steadied after a rocky mid-sequence, taking seven points from their last five, while Almeria arrive in inconsistent road form having won just one of their last three away. The head-to-head is evenly split across two meetings, offering little separation there.

The goal data is where this fixture stands out. Both sides show BTTS landing in 67% of their respective matches, comfortably above the league average of 56%, and Almeria's away clean sheet rate of just 19% suggests Castellon's attack, averaging two goals per home game, will find openings. Almeria concede on the road at a rate that points to an open contest.

This looks like a goal-heavy affair between two sides with genuine promotion stakes involved. The attacking output on both sides and the low defensive security suggest goals are more likely than not, and the data points to this being tighter on the pitch than the standings imply.