Volendam arrive at Tilburg in desperate straits, sitting 16th and likely in a relegation battle with little margin for error. Their away form this season has been chronically poor — averaging under a goal scored per game on the road while conceding close to two, and keeping a clean sheet in just 6% of away fixtures. That combination tells a grim story for a side needing points.

Their away BTTS rate of 41% sits well below the Eredivisie average of 63%, which underlines how toothless Volendam have been in attack away from home. With an O2.5 rate of 53% against a league norm of 62%, games involving them on the road tend to be low-scoring, though rarely in their favour.

Without home form data for Willem II this is harder to frame fully, but Volendam's profile as visitors looks fragile. The hosts appear well-placed to take advantage, and this looks like a match where Volendam struggle to contribute much going forward.