Dender arrive at Lommel in poor shape, having won just one of their last five fixtures, and their away record this season tells a difficult story. Conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away game while scoring just 0.8 suggests a side that struggles to impose themselves on the road and is regularly punished defensively. Sitting 16th in the table, the pressure on Dender is real, and that anxiety can compound performance issues late in a season.

The BTTS data is worth noting. Dender away games have seen both teams score 61% of the time, above the league average of 55%, meaning they do tend to generate some attacking moments even when losing. However, their clean sheet rate of just 17% away from home is a concern that is hard to overlook.

With no H2H history to draw on, this one carries uncertainty, but the form and context suggest Lommel hold a meaningful advantage here.