Charleroi head into this fixture with real momentum, winning three of their last four after an uncertain start to that run. At home this season they have been reasonably productive but also prone to conceding, with BTTS landing in 61% of their home games, notably above the Belgian Pro League average of 55%. Their clean sheet rate of 28% at home underlines that vulnerability at the back, even as they average 1.4 goals scored per game.

OH Leuven's data is limited here, with no available away form or league position to work with, which makes assessing their threat difficult. The lack of any head-to-head history between these sides adds further uncertainty to the fixture.

On balance, Charleroi's home form gives them a clear edge, but the data suggests this has the makings of an open game rather than a controlled home win. The goalscoring patterns on both sides point to a lively contest.