Anderlecht head into this fixture in uncertain form, winning just two of their last five at home and sitting fourth in the Pro League. That inconsistency is reflected in their attacking output, where they average 1.8 goals scored per home game alongside a fairly solid defensive record of 0.9 conceded. Their clean sheet rate of 44% at home is a genuine strength, suggesting Union SG will need to work hard to find a way through.

With no away form data available for Union SG and no head-to-head history to draw on, this one carries an unusual degree of uncertainty. Anderlecht's home BTTS rate of 56% sits marginally above the league average, though their Over 2.5 rate of 50% is only slightly ahead of the norm, hinting at matches that tend to be competitive rather than open.

Given Anderlecht's defensive solidity at home and the unknowns surrounding Union SG, this looks tighter than many might expect on paper.